945 WTNT80 EGRR 231557 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.08.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 25.5N 79.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.08.2019 25.5N 79.8W WEAK 00UTC 24.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.7N 42.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.08.2019 9.7N 42.5W WEAK 00UTC 24.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL ANALYSED POSITION : 36.7N 40.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.08.2019 36.7N 40.8W WEAK 00UTC 24.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM IVO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N 115.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.08.2019 18.4N 115.1W MODERATE 00UTC 24.08.2019 19.6N 116.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2019 20.8N 116.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2019 22.2N 117.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2019 24.2N 118.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2019 26.7N 119.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.08.2019 28.4N 120.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.08.2019 29.5N 120.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.9N 131.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2019 13.9N 131.9W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2019 15.8N 132.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2019 16.9N 132.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 28.5N 78.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2019 28.5N 78.2W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2019 30.1N 76.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2019 31.1N 75.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.08.2019 32.1N 74.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.08.2019 33.1N 73.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.08.2019 34.4N 71.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 28.08.2019 35.4N 70.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 29.08.2019 36.6N 69.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 38.4N 68.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.0N 145.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.08.2019 13.0N 145.3W WEAK 12UTC 26.08.2019 13.8N 146.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2019 15.2N 147.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2019 16.3N 147.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2019 17.5N 147.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2019 18.6N 147.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2019 20.0N 147.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 21.4N 147.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 14.2N 162.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.08.2019 14.2N 162.8W WEAK 00UTC 29.08.2019 15.4N 164.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 16.3N 166.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 21.9N 110.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2019 22.3N 110.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2019 23.2N 112.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 231557