567 
WTNT80 EGRR 300359

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.08.2019

             HURRICANE DORIAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N  68.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.08.2019  22.8N  68.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 30.08.2019  24.4N  69.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2019  25.5N  71.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2019  26.0N  72.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2019  26.3N  74.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2019  26.6N  76.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2019  26.8N  77.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2019  26.7N  78.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2019  26.4N  79.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2019  26.4N  80.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2019  27.0N  81.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2019  27.7N  83.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2019  28.3N  83.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.1N 112.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2019  13.1N 112.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.09.2019  14.3N 114.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2019  15.0N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2019  15.2N 117.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2019  15.4N 119.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2019  15.8N 119.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 30.4N  62.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.09.2019  30.3N  61.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300359