479 WTNT80 EGRR 040359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.09.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N 66.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2019 31.7N 66.4W WEAK 12UTC 04.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 28.2N 79.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2019 28.2N 79.0W INTENSE 12UTC 04.09.2019 29.4N 79.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2019 30.5N 80.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2019 31.5N 80.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2019 32.7N 79.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 34.5N 77.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2019 36.2N 73.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 39.0N 68.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 42.0N 63.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 45.5N 57.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.09.2019 51.5N 50.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2019 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM FERNAND ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 95.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2019 22.8N 95.8W WEAK 12UTC 04.09.2019 23.7N 97.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM GABRIELL ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N 32.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2019 18.6N 32.8W WEAK 12UTC 04.09.2019 19.1N 33.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2019 20.3N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2019 21.1N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2019 22.3N 35.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 23.9N 36.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 26.5N 38.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 28.7N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2019 31.2N 41.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 33.3N 43.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 35.0N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 36.7N 45.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 38.4N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JULIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 115.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2019 18.9N 115.8W STRONG 12UTC 04.09.2019 19.2N 117.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2019 19.8N 118.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2019 20.7N 119.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2019 21.9N 121.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2019 22.7N 123.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2019 23.5N 125.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2019 23.5N 127.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 23.3N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 22.8N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 22.5N 133.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 13.1N 140.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2019 13.1N 141.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 05.09.2019 12.8N 142.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2019 12.6N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2019 12.3N 145.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 12.3N 147.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 12.5N 149.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 12.8N 152.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 13.4N 155.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 14.3N 158.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 15.7N 162.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 17.3N 165.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 37.2N 60.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2019 37.6N 59.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2019 38.8N 57.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2019 39.7N 54.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2019 43.2N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 040359