000 WTNT80 EGRR 151558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.09.2019 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO ANALYSED POSITION : 28.7N 77.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2019 28.7N 77.8W MODERATE 00UTC 16.09.2019 29.2N 77.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2019 29.8N 76.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 17.09.2019 30.3N 75.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 31.1N 74.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2019 31.7N 72.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2019 32.2N 70.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 19.09.2019 32.8N 67.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2019 34.2N 62.6W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2019 36.5N 56.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 20.09.2019 38.5N 51.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 21.09.2019 39.2N 43.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.09.2019 41.3N 31.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE KIKO ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 120.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2019 16.9N 120.9W MODERATE 00UTC 16.09.2019 17.1N 122.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2019 17.2N 123.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2019 17.0N 124.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 16.6N 125.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2019 16.3N 126.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 16.1N 127.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 16.0N 128.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2019 16.1N 129.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 16.9N 130.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 17.6N 130.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2019 18.0N 130.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2019 18.1N 130.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.8N 134.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2019 12.8N 134.5W WEAK 12UTC 16.09.2019 13.1N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2019 13.6N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 13.6N 135.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2019 13.4N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 12.8N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 12.9N 137.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2019 13.0N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 13.2N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 13.8N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2019 14.4N 138.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2019 15.4N 139.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 14.2N 162.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2019 14.2N 162.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2019 15.0N 163.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 15.7N 164.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2019 17.5N 164.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 19.5N 164.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2019 23.1N 166.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2019 23.9N 168.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 24.5N 170.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 25.0N 172.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2019 25.7N 175.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2019 26.5N 178.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 11.4N 41.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.09.2019 11.7N 41.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 13.1N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2019 14.5N 44.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 15.1N 46.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 15.6N 49.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2019 16.1N 51.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 17.0N 53.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 17.8N 54.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.09.2019 18.5N 56.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.09.2019 19.0N 57.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 11.9N 150.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2019 12.1N 150.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.09.2019 12.2N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 13.7N 150.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 14.3N 152.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2019 13.9N 154.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 13.9N 155.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 13.8N 156.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2019 14.3N 157.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2019 14.8N 157.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 15.5N 35.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.09.2019 15.5N 35.4W WEAK 12UTC 18.09.2019 16.1N 37.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 17.1N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2019 17.7N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 19.4N 45.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 15.7N 113.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.09.2019 15.7N 113.5W WEAK 12UTC 19.09.2019 17.2N 115.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2019 17.7N 116.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2019 17.7N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2019 17.4N 116.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2019 17.0N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 13.8N 99.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.09.2019 13.8N 99.7W WEAK 00UTC 21.09.2019 14.0N 101.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.09.2019 14.4N 103.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151558