403 WTNT80 EGRR 041556 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.10.2019 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 15.0N 127.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2019 15.0N 128.0W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2019 15.8N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2019 17.0N 130.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2019 18.0N 132.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2019 19.0N 134.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 27.8N 74.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2019 27.8N 74.8W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2019 29.7N 74.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2019 31.8N 72.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2019 34.5N 68.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2019 36.0N 66.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2019 37.5N 65.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2019 38.1N 65.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 33.7N 41.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2019 33.7N 41.2W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2019 32.5N 45.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2019 32.0N 47.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2019 31.4N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 31.0N 51.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 041556