002 WTNT80 EGRR 050357 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 126.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.10.2019 15.2N 126.7W WEAK 12UTC 05.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.5N 137.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2019 14.5N 137.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2019 15.0N 139.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2019 16.1N 142.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2019 17.2N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2019 17.7N 149.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 18.8N 152.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 20.6N 154.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 33.6N 41.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2019 33.6N 41.5W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2019 33.1N 45.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2019 31.5N 46.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2019 30.0N 47.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 29.7N 48.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 30.3N 49.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 35.0N 68.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2019 34.5N 68.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2019 35.3N 66.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 34.6N 67.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 36.3N 66.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050357