670 WTNT80 EGRR 051555 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 128.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2019 15.5N 128.8W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 29.9N 54.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2019 29.9N 54.9W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2019 28.9N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2019 27.2N 53.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 32.7N 41.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2019 32.7N 41.0W WEAK 12UTC 08.10.2019 34.1N 42.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2019 33.9N 46.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2019 32.5N 48.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2019 31.3N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 30.6N 50.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 30.8N 51.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2019 31.5N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 33.5N 70.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2019 33.6N 69.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.10.2019 34.6N 69.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 33.3N 69.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 18.3N 168.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2019 19.2N 168.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2019 21.2N 168.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 10.5N 35.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2019 11.0N 36.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051555