591 WTNT80 EGRR 100355 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.10.2019 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 37.4N 69.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2019 37.4N 69.4W MODERATE 12UTC 12.10.2019 38.1N 67.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2019 38.6N 65.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2019 39.6N 60.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2019 40.8N 54.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 41.9N 47.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 16.2N 115.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2019 16.9N 115.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2019 19.3N 116.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2019 21.1N 116.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2019 22.7N 116.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 24.1N 115.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2019 24.7N 114.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2019 24.2N 114.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.5N 124.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2019 13.5N 124.6W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2019 14.2N 122.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 15.1N 120.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2019 15.9N 118.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2019 15.9N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2019 15.3N 116.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 26.4N 165.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.10.2019 26.4N 165.5W WEAK 12UTC 15.10.2019 25.7N 165.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2019 25.9N 166.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100355