504 WTNT80 EGRR 111558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.11.2019 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 13.1N 125.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.11.2019 13.1N 126.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 15.11.2019 13.3N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.11.2019 13.2N 128.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2019 12.9N 129.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2019 13.1N 130.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2019 12.6N 130.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.4N 110.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.11.2019 13.5N 111.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.11.2019 14.4N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2019 14.8N 113.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2019 15.7N 113.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2019 16.9N 113.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 11.7N 101.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.11.2019 11.7N 102.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2019 13.4N 104.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2019 15.5N 105.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 30.5N 71.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.11.2019 31.6N 70.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 111558