346 WTNT80 EGRR 121559 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.11.2019 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.4N 130.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.11.2019 12.5N 131.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.11.2019 12.6N 132.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.11.2019 12.5N 134.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2019 13.0N 135.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2019 13.1N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2019 13.0N 138.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2019 12.9N 140.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2019 13.1N 141.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 31.3N 78.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.11.2019 32.2N 77.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.11.2019 31.2N 78.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.11.2019 31.2N 76.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.11.2019 32.0N 74.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2019 33.5N 71.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2019 38.1N 67.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 17.1N 112.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.11.2019 18.0N 112.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.11.2019 19.7N 110.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2019 21.1N 112.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121559