412 
WTNT80 EGRR 140357

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.11.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N 110.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.11.2019  11.5N 110.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.11.2019  12.1N 109.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.8N 110.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2019  13.9N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2019  14.3N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2019  15.3N 113.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2019  17.6N 112.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.11.2019  20.1N 110.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2019  22.6N 108.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2019  25.3N 107.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 31.3N  78.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2019  32.2N  78.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2019  32.1N  76.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2019  31.7N  75.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.11.2019  32.2N  73.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.11.2019  34.1N  71.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2019  37.2N  68.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2019  42.1N  65.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2019  47.2N  63.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.11.2019  51.0N  61.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 140357