857 
WTNT80 EGRR 231602

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.07.2020

             HURRICANE DOUGLAS    ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 135.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.07.2020  13.1N 135.0W   INTENSE
 00UTC 24.07.2020  14.3N 137.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.07.2020  15.8N 141.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.07.2020  17.3N 144.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.07.2020  18.6N 147.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.07.2020  19.8N 150.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.07.2020  21.0N 153.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2020  22.2N 156.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2020  22.3N 159.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.07.2020  22.5N 162.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2020  23.0N 165.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2020  23.7N 169.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2020  23.7N 172.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM GONZALO    ANALYSED POSITION :  9.8N  48.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.07.2020   9.8N  48.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.07.2020  10.0N  50.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2020  10.2N  53.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.07.2020  10.6N  56.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2020  11.1N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L        ANALYSED POSITION : 26.0N  90.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.07.2020  26.0N  90.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 27.5N  93.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.07.2020  27.5N  93.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.07.2020  27.5N  94.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2020  27.7N  96.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2020  27.5N  98.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2020  27.0N 100.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2020  26.1N 101.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.07.2020  25.6N 103.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 13.0N  57.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.07.2020  13.6N  59.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231602