055 
WTNT80 EGRR 011604

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.08.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10L        ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N  21.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2020  18.0N  21.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE ISAIAS     ANALYSED POSITION : 24.4N  77.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2020  24.4N  77.5W   MODERATE
 00UTC 02.08.2020  25.4N  78.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2020  26.5N  79.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2020  27.5N  80.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2020  28.8N  80.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2020  30.3N  80.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2020  32.7N  79.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.08.2020  36.3N  76.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2020  40.3N  73.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2020  45.3N  68.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2020  49.8N  65.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2020  54.0N  66.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2020  53.0N  68.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 36.4N  50.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.08.2020  36.3N  49.3W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.08.2020  35.8N  48.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2020  35.8N  47.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2020  36.3N  45.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011604