150 WTNT80 EGRR 141605 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.09.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.4N 48.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2020 27.4N 48.3W WEAK 00UTC 15.09.2020 26.7N 49.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 26.0N 50.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 25.2N 52.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM SALLY ANALYSED POSITION : 27.9N 87.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL192020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2020 27.9N 87.0W MODERATE 00UTC 15.09.2020 28.5N 87.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2020 28.9N 88.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2020 29.4N 88.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2020 30.0N 87.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 31.0N 86.3W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 32.0N 84.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.09.2020 32.5N 81.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM VICKY ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 27.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL212020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2020 18.9N 27.9W WEAK 00UTC 15.09.2020 19.5N 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 20.5N 30.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 21.4N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 21.9N 34.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 22.8N 35.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 23.3N 37.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 23.3N 39.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 23.3N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE PAULETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.8N 65.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2020 32.8N 65.1W STRONG 00UTC 15.09.2020 34.5N 64.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 15.09.2020 36.7N 60.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.09.2020 38.9N 55.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 41.3N 49.7W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 43.4N 43.6W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 45.7N 39.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 45.7N 36.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 44.4N 35.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2020 42.2N 34.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 40.1N 34.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2020 38.6N 36.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2020 37.4N 37.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM TEDDY ANALYSED POSITION : 12.9N 42.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL202020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2020 12.9N 42.3W WEAK 00UTC 15.09.2020 13.0N 44.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 13.9N 46.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2020 14.7N 47.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2020 15.7N 49.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 17.0N 50.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 18.4N 51.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.09.2020 19.5N 53.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 20.8N 54.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 21.9N 55.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 22.8N 57.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 23.6N 58.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2020 24.5N 58.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM KARINA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.9N 118.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2020 17.9N 118.1W MODERATE 00UTC 15.09.2020 18.9N 119.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 20.2N 120.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 21.9N 122.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 23.1N 124.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 23.9N 125.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 24.4N 125.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 24.1N 126.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 23.4N 127.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 32.5N 16.4E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2020 32.5N 16.4E WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2020 33.0N 15.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 33.2N 15.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 32.8N 16.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 33.3N 18.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 34.2N 20.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 9.7N 148.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2020 9.7N 148.1W WEAK 00UTC 16.09.2020 9.7N 149.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 10.5N 151.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 11.1N 154.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 11.6N 156.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 12.3N 158.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 13.1N 160.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141605