565 
WTNT80 EGRR 010359

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.10.2020

             HURRICANE MARIE      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 116.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.10.2020  14.4N 116.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 01.10.2020  15.0N 118.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2020  15.7N 121.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2020  16.6N 124.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2020  17.8N 126.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2020  18.9N 128.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2020  19.9N 129.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2020  20.0N 131.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2020  20.3N 133.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.10.2020  20.7N 135.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2020  21.2N 137.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2020  22.0N 138.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2020  22.8N 139.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 37.3N  66.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2020  38.3N  62.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.10.2020  41.1N  53.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2020  43.2N  44.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 14.3N 114.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2020  14.3N 114.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.10.2020  14.9N 114.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2020  15.2N 115.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010359