070 
WTNT80 EGRR 081601

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.11.2020

        TROPICAL STORM ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N  78.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.11.2020  21.4N  78.9W   MODERATE
 00UTC 09.11.2020  24.2N  79.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.11.2020  25.3N  82.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2020  24.0N  85.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2020  22.7N  86.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2020  22.7N  85.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.11.2020  23.3N  85.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  24.0N  85.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2020  23.9N  85.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2020  23.2N  85.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  22.3N  86.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.11.2020  21.0N  88.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  20.1N  90.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 28.2N  45.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.11.2020  28.2N  45.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.11.2020  28.3N  42.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2020  29.4N  39.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2020  30.1N  35.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2020  30.9N  32.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2020  32.1N  30.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  33.8N  27.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2020  34.8N  24.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2020  34.6N  21.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  34.9N  17.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  36.3N  14.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  37.2N  11.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 15.9N  72.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.11.2020  15.9N  72.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.11.2020  15.9N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  14.8N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 39.4N  67.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.11.2020  40.1N  65.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  41.0N  57.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081601