070 
WTNT80 EGRR 111603

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.08.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.9N  33.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2021  12.9N  33.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.08.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM FRED       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N  69.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2021  18.1N  69.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.08.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KEVIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 20.4N 116.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2021  20.4N 116.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.08.2021  21.6N 118.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2021  22.5N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2021  23.6N 123.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2021  24.8N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2021  26.3N 128.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2021  28.8N 129.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2021  31.0N 130.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LINDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N 105.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2021  14.1N 105.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 12.08.2021  13.8N 106.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2021  14.2N 108.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2021  15.3N 110.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2021  16.5N 113.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2021  17.3N 116.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2021  18.0N 118.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2021  18.9N 120.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2021  19.4N 123.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2021  19.7N 125.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2021  19.7N 127.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2021  19.7N 129.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2021  19.2N 132.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 24.7N  82.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.08.2021  24.7N  82.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.08.2021  25.0N  83.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2021  25.6N  84.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2021  26.5N  85.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2021  27.6N  85.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2021  28.4N  85.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2021  29.5N  85.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 19.5N  66.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2021  19.5N  66.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.08.2021  20.0N  68.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2021  21.1N  70.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111603