242 
WTNT80 EGRR 020402

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.09.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 28.6N  52.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2021  28.6N  52.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N  83.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2021  13.6N  83.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM IDA        ANALYSED POSITION : 40.6N  74.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2021  40.6N  74.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.09.2021  43.2N  68.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2021  46.4N  64.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2021  48.1N  62.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2021  49.1N  63.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2021  48.0N  63.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2021  45.8N  62.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LARRY      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N  29.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2021  12.5N  29.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2021  13.0N  34.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2021  13.6N  37.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2021  14.2N  41.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2021  15.3N  44.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2021  16.7N  47.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2021  18.1N  49.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2021  19.8N  51.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2021  21.4N  53.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2021  22.8N  55.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2021  24.0N  56.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.09.2021  25.3N  57.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.09.2021  26.8N  58.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.5N 126.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2021  12.7N 126.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.09.2021  13.6N 125.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020402