232 
WTNT80 EGRR 151601

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.01.2022

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 30.3N  86.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.01.2022  32.5N  85.5W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.01.2022  35.7N  81.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.01.2022  41.3N  75.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.01.2022  45.9N  72.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.01.2022  51.6N  66.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.01.2022  54.9N  61.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.01.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151601