773 
WTNT80 EGRR 111609

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.07.2022

             HURRICANE DARBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 123.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.07.2022  14.5N 123.1W   MODERATE
 00UTC 12.07.2022  14.6N 126.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2022  14.9N 128.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  15.1N 131.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2022  15.4N 134.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.07.2022  15.9N 137.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2022  16.5N 140.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2022  17.1N 142.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.07.2022  17.5N 145.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2022  17.8N 148.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2022  17.8N 152.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 35.8N  67.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.07.2022  35.8N  67.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.07.2022  36.7N  62.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2022  38.1N  57.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  41.5N  52.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2022  43.1N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2022  45.0N  44.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 29.3N  91.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.07.2022  29.3N  91.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.07.2022  29.4N  91.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.07.2022  29.7N  92.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2022  30.8N  93.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2022  31.2N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111609