033 WTNT80 EGRR 080412 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.09.2022 HURRICANE DANIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 45.2N 33.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2022 45.2N 33.8W STRONG 12UTC 08.09.2022 47.5N 30.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2022 49.7N 30.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2022 51.5N 32.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2022 47.8N 34.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2022 45.3N 27.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2022 45.0N 24.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2022 42.6N 22.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2022 39.8N 18.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE KAY ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 112.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2022 22.5N 112.9W STRONG 12UTC 08.09.2022 25.2N 113.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2022 27.8N 115.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2022 29.6N 116.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2022 31.0N 118.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2022 31.3N 120.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2022 30.3N 121.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2022 30.2N 122.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2022 28.6N 124.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2022 27.1N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2022 26.2N 124.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE EARL ANALYSED POSITION : 26.8N 65.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2022 26.8N 65.4W STRONG 12UTC 08.09.2022 28.5N 65.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2022 30.5N 64.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2022 32.8N 62.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2022 35.9N 58.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.09.2022 40.7N 53.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2022 42.8N 52.0W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.09.2022 42.9N 50.6W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.09.2022 43.0N 50.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2022 42.5N 49.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2022 42.7N 47.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2022 43.6N 42.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2022 45.3N 38.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 37.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2022 17.3N 37.5W WEAK 12UTC 08.09.2022 18.9N 40.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2022 19.5N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2022 20.2N 45.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2022 21.2N 48.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2022 23.5N 50.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.3N 163.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.09.2022 12.3N 163.1W WEAK 12UTC 11.09.2022 12.5N 162.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2022 13.4N 163.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.4N 17.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2022 11.9N 17.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2022 12.2N 20.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2022 12.3N 23.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2022 13.3N 25.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 19.0N 46.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2022 19.7N 48.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2022 20.8N 50.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 38.0N 2.8E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2022 38.0N 2.8E WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 080412