323 
WTNT80 EGRR 081611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.09.2022

             HURRICANE EARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 28.7N  65.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2022  28.7N  65.1W    STRONG
 00UTC 09.09.2022  30.8N  64.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2022  33.1N  62.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2022  36.1N  58.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.09.2022  41.0N  52.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2022  43.9N  51.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2022  43.3N  51.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2022  43.8N  50.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2022  44.0N  49.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2022  43.9N  46.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2022  45.2N  42.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2022  45.5N  40.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2022  45.2N  37.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE KAY        ANALYSED POSITION : 25.3N 113.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2022  25.3N 113.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 09.09.2022  27.8N 114.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.09.2022  29.7N 115.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2022  30.9N 118.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2022  30.6N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2022  31.0N 120.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2022  31.3N 121.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2022  30.2N 122.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2022  29.2N 122.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2022  27.8N 121.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N  40.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2022  18.8N  40.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2022  19.4N  43.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2022  19.9N  45.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2022  20.9N  48.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 12.6N  18.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.09.2022  12.6N  18.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.09.2022  12.9N  21.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2022  13.0N  24.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2022  13.9N  27.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2022  14.6N  29.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 14.9N  43.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.09.2022  14.9N  43.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.09.2022  16.8N  46.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2022  18.4N  48.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2022  18.9N  51.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2022  19.3N  53.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081611