705 
WTNT80 EGRR 100409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.09.2022

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N  47.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.09.2022  21.7N  47.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.09.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KAY        ANALYSED POSITION : 31.2N 118.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.09.2022  31.2N 118.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 10.09.2022  30.9N 119.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2022  31.6N 120.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2022  31.6N 122.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2022  30.9N 122.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2022  29.8N 122.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE EARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 36.9N  57.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.09.2022  36.9N  57.2W   INTENSE
 12UTC 10.09.2022  42.3N  53.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2022  43.6N  52.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2022  44.1N  51.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2022  44.5N  50.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2022  44.3N  50.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2022  43.9N  48.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2022  43.6N  44.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2022  44.6N  42.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2022  44.8N  41.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2022  44.5N  39.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2022  46.0N  36.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 12.8N 101.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.09.2022  12.8N 101.5W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100409