597 
WTNT80 EGRR 211611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.10.2022

        TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 104.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2022  16.1N 104.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.10.2022  16.5N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2022  17.8N 106.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2022  19.5N 107.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2022  21.5N 106.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 32.0N  75.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2022  33.1N  75.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2022  33.8N  75.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2022  36.3N  74.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.7N  97.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2022  32.0N  94.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.10.2022  35.5N  88.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2022  37.4N  85.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 34.1N  65.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2022  35.0N  66.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2022  36.7N  67.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2022  38.7N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2022  42.0N  68.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2022  47.2N  63.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211611