479 WTNT80 EGRR 151611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.12.2022 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 37.3N 76.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.12.2022 37.3N 76.6W WEAK 12UTC 16.12.2022 39.2N 74.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.12.2022 40.5N 71.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.12.2022 42.4N 68.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.12.2022 42.7N 65.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.12.2022 43.7N 61.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.12.2022 46.2N 56.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.12.2022 44.5N 44.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.12.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 27.3N 89.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.12.2022 28.5N 86.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 21.12.2022 28.9N 80.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151611