524 WTNT80 EGRR 081611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.09.2023 HURRICANE JOVA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 121.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2023 19.3N 121.0W INTENSE 00UTC 09.09.2023 20.6N 123.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2023 22.1N 125.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 10.09.2023 23.5N 127.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2023 24.7N 127.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2023 25.3N 128.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2023 25.3N 129.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2023 24.8N 129.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 54.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2023 18.2N 54.1W INTENSE 00UTC 09.09.2023 19.6N 56.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2023 20.3N 58.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2023 20.9N 59.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2023 21.6N 61.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2023 22.2N 62.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2023 23.0N 64.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2023 23.6N 65.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2023 24.0N 67.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2023 24.2N 68.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2023 24.8N 69.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2023 25.6N 69.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2023 26.8N 70.1W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2023 27.9N 70.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2023 29.5N 69.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM MARGOT ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 31.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2023 17.5N 31.9W WEAK 00UTC 09.09.2023 18.9N 35.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2023 19.7N 38.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2023 20.6N 39.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2023 21.9N 41.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2023 22.7N 41.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2023 23.6N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2023 24.7N 41.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2023 26.5N 41.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2023 28.9N 40.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2023 30.5N 41.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2023 31.8N 42.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2023 32.7N 43.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2023 33.8N 43.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2023 34.2N 44.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 34.4N 17.6E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2023 34.4N 17.6E WEAK 00UTC 09.09.2023 33.4N 17.8E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2023 33.0N 18.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2023 31.9N 19.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2023 30.7N 20.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2023 30.0N 22.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2023 29.2N 25.3E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2023 28.8N 27.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081611