537 
WTNT80 EGRR 220410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.09.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91C        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 143.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP912023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.09.2023  12.7N 143.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE NIGEL      ANALYSED POSITION : 44.0N  38.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.09.2023  44.0N  38.7W    STRONG
 12UTC 22.09.2023  47.0N  30.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2023  50.5N  24.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2023  POST-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM KENNETH    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 126.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.09.2023  18.0N 126.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.09.2023  19.8N 126.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM 16L        ANALYSED POSITION : 30.0N  75.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.09.2023  30.0N  75.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.09.2023  31.7N  75.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2023  33.1N  76.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2023  34.7N  76.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2023  37.0N  76.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2023  37.7N  77.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90L        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.3N  30.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL902023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.09.2023  14.3N  30.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 38.9N  18.4E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.09.2023  37.5N  18.4E     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 27.09.2023  35.0N  19.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2023  33.9N  22.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2023  33.9N  23.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 20.7N  58.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.09.2023  20.7N  58.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.09.2023  21.3N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 220410