434 
WTNT80 EGRR 280409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.10.2023

        TROPICAL STORM TAMMY      ANALYSED POSITION : 32.7N  61.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL202023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.10.2023  32.7N  61.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 28.10.2023  33.2N  59.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.10.2023  33.1N  56.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.10.2023  32.2N  52.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2023  30.3N  49.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2023  28.7N  47.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2023  27.2N  47.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2023  26.6N  48.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2023  26.2N  49.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2023  26.7N  51.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N  90.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP922023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.10.2023  11.5N  90.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 28.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 10.0N  93.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.10.2023  10.4N  93.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2023  10.6N  92.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2023  10.9N  92.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2023  10.7N  91.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2023  11.1N  90.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2023  10.9N  90.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2023  10.3N  90.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2023   9.8N  91.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2023   9.4N  94.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2023   9.2N  97.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2023   8.7N 100.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 :  8.6N 120.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.10.2023   8.6N 120.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.10.2023   9.1N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2023   9.5N 120.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2023  10.0N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2023  10.3N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2023  10.9N 120.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2023  11.0N 121.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2023  11.1N 122.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 280409