604 WTNT80 EGRR 010410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.08.2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N 123.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.08.2024 13.4N 123.1W WEAK 12UTC 01.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 109.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.08.2024 15.9N 109.0W WEAK 12UTC 01.08.2024 17.3N 111.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2024 17.5N 113.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2024 17.9N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2024 18.1N 118.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2024 18.4N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2024 18.6N 123.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2024 18.8N 125.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2024 18.9N 127.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2024 18.8N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2024 18.2N 130.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2024 18.0N 131.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2024 18.4N 133.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 24.9N 87.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.08.2024 25.5N 87.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2024 28.0N 88.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2024 29.4N 88.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2024 31.1N 88.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2024 31.7N 87.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2024 31.7N 87.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2024 31.4N 85.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 14.8N 116.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.08.2024 15.2N 117.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2024 16.7N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2024 16.9N 123.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 010410