813 WTNT80 EGRR 041612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.08.2024 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ANALYSED POSITION : 26.5N 84.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2024 26.5N 84.1W WEAK 00UTC 05.08.2024 28.3N 84.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2024 29.7N 84.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2024 30.8N 83.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2024 31.9N 82.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2024 31.8N 81.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2024 31.4N 79.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2024 31.7N 79.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2024 32.2N 79.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2024 32.7N 79.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2024 33.7N 79.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2024 34.1N 79.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2024 35.7N 78.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.08.2024 36.7N 76.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2024 37.3N 73.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DANIEL ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 130.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2024 13.1N 130.6W WEAK 00UTC 05.08.2024 13.8N 130.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2024 14.4N 128.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2024 15.7N 126.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2024 17.0N 125.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 112.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2024 16.4N 112.7W WEAK 00UTC 05.08.2024 15.6N 113.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2024 14.0N 112.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N 123.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2024 19.7N 123.5W MODERATE 00UTC 05.08.2024 20.0N 125.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2024 20.2N 126.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2024 20.3N 128.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2024 19.9N 129.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2024 19.5N 131.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2024 19.2N 133.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 103.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2024 13.1N 103.5W WEAK 00UTC 05.08.2024 15.0N 105.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 15.0N 114.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.08.2024 14.7N 114.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2024 16.1N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2024 17.0N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2024 18.1N 122.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2024 18.9N 124.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2024 19.4N 126.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2024 20.3N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2024 20.6N 130.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2024 21.2N 132.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2024 21.0N 135.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 041612