246 
WTNT80 EGRR 050411

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.08.2024

        TROPICAL STORM DEBBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 28.3N  83.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2024  28.3N  83.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 05.08.2024  29.4N  83.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2024  30.7N  82.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2024  31.7N  81.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2024  32.0N  80.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2024  32.3N  78.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2024  33.1N  77.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2024  34.0N  77.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2024  35.1N  78.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2024  35.9N  78.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2024  37.8N  76.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2024  40.3N  72.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2024  43.4N  67.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2024  45.8N  62.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2024  47.2N  57.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA   ANALYSED POSITION : 20.0N 125.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2024  20.0N 125.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 05.08.2024  20.5N 126.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2024  20.5N 128.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2024  20.1N 130.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2024  19.5N 131.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM DANIEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N 130.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2024  13.8N 130.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2024  14.8N 128.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2024  16.2N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 105.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2024  14.9N 105.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM 05E        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N 113.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2024  15.3N 113.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2024  14.5N 112.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2024  13.7N 112.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2024  15.1N 113.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2024  16.3N 117.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2024  17.5N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2024  18.3N 121.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2024  19.5N 123.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2024  20.3N 126.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2024  21.3N 128.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2024  22.0N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2024  22.7N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2024  23.0N 134.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2024  23.0N 136.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050411