473 
WTNT80 EGRR 071611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.08.2024

        TROPICAL STORM EMILIA     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 116.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2024  17.5N 116.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 08.08.2024  19.9N 119.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2024  21.0N 122.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2024  21.8N 124.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2024  22.8N 126.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2024  23.9N 128.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2024  25.0N 130.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2024  25.7N 132.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2024  26.4N 133.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2024  26.5N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM FABIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 116.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2024  17.5N 116.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 08.08.2024  19.9N 119.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2024  21.0N 122.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2024  21.8N 124.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2024  22.8N 126.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2024  23.9N 128.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2024  25.0N 130.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2024  25.7N 132.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2024  26.4N 133.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2024  26.5N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM DEBBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N  79.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2024  32.0N  79.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 08.08.2024  32.6N  79.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2024  33.6N  79.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2024  34.7N  80.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2024  37.8N  79.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2024  42.2N  76.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2024  47.1N  70.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2024  49.7N  64.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2024  50.0N  57.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071611