123 
WTNT80 EGRR 091611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.08.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 40.6N  78.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2024  40.6N  78.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.08.2024  44.7N  73.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2024  49.0N  64.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2024  50.5N  50.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2024  51.7N  38.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2024  52.2N  31.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2024  52.8N  23.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2024  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 33.8N  75.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2024  33.8N  75.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.08.2024  33.6N  72.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2024  32.8N  69.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2024  32.7N  65.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 23.1N  71.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.08.2024  23.9N  71.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2024  24.7N  72.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091611