907 
WTNT80 EGRR 121612

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.08.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05L        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N  55.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.08.2024  14.5N  55.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 17.5N  63.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2024  18.0N  64.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2024  19.6N  66.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2024  21.1N  68.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2024  24.2N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2024  25.5N  68.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2024  26.9N  67.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2024  27.5N  65.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2024  28.9N  65.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2024  29.7N  65.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2024  30.6N  65.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2024  32.0N  65.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2024  34.7N  64.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 35.9N  57.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.08.2024  35.9N  57.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.08.2024  37.3N  55.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2024  36.0N  58.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121612