013 
WTNT80 EGRR 140412

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.08.2024

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N  65.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2024  18.3N  65.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.08.2024  20.0N  67.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2024  22.6N  68.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2024  25.0N  68.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2024  26.9N  67.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2024  29.3N  65.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2024  31.5N  64.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2024  32.5N  64.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2024  33.6N  64.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2024  34.8N  64.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2024  37.7N  63.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2024  41.3N  61.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2024  45.6N  58.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2024  50.0N  51.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2024  54.4N  39.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 140412