039 WTNT80 EGRR 210411 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.08.2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90E ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 137.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP902024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.08.2024 11.4N 137.6W WEAK 12UTC 21.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM GILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 121.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.08.2024 16.1N 121.4W MODERATE 12UTC 21.08.2024 16.4N 123.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.08.2024 16.7N 124.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.08.2024 16.7N 126.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.08.2024 17.2N 127.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.08.2024 17.3N 128.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.08.2024 17.5N 130.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2024 17.7N 131.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2024 18.0N 133.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2024 18.2N 135.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2024 18.6N 137.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2024 18.9N 138.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2024 19.1N 141.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.08.2024 19.4N 143.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.08.2024 19.5N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 132.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP912024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.08.2024 15.0N 132.6W WEAK 12UTC 21.08.2024 15.3N 135.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.08.2024 15.3N 138.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.08.2024 15.3N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.08.2024 15.5N 143.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.08.2024 15.2N 146.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.08.2024 15.6N 149.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2024 15.9N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2024 16.2N 154.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2024 16.4N 156.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2024 16.5N 158.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2024 16.7N 159.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2024 17.2N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2024 18.0N 162.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2024 18.6N 164.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.7N 117.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.08.2024 15.3N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2024 16.0N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2024 16.8N 122.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2024 17.5N 124.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2024 18.2N 127.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2024 18.9N 129.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2024 19.5N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 43.4N 31.7E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.08.2024 44.1N 32.6E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.08.2024 44.7N 30.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 38.2N 8.0E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2024 38.8N 8.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 210411