583 WTNT80 EGRR 220410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.08.2024 HURRICANE GILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 123.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.08.2024 16.4N 123.4W STRONG 12UTC 22.08.2024 17.0N 124.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.08.2024 17.8N 125.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.08.2024 18.3N 127.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.08.2024 18.7N 129.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2024 18.9N 131.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.08.2024 19.1N 132.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.08.2024 19.2N 134.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.08.2024 19.2N 137.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2024 19.3N 139.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.08.2024 19.5N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2024 19.7N 145.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2024 19.9N 149.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2024 20.5N 152.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2024 21.1N 155.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 137.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP912024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.08.2024 15.8N 137.8W WEAK 12UTC 22.08.2024 15.9N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.08.2024 16.1N 143.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.08.2024 16.2N 145.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.08.2024 16.6N 148.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2024 16.9N 150.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2024 17.2N 153.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2024 17.2N 155.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2024 17.0N 157.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2024 17.2N 158.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2024 17.9N 160.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2024 18.1N 162.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 15.4N 120.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2024 15.0N 122.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.08.2024 15.6N 123.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2024 16.0N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2024 16.2N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2024 17.3N 131.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2024 17.3N 134.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2024 17.4N 137.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220410