511 WTNT80 EGRR 030413 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.09.2024 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.3N 130.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.09.2024 12.9N 131.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.09.2024 12.5N 131.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2024 11.9N 132.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2024 11.4N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2024 10.8N 136.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2024 11.1N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2024 11.4N 139.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2024 12.2N 140.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2024 13.1N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2024 13.9N 144.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2024 14.4N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2024 14.9N 146.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 34.0N 70.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2024 33.3N 70.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2024 34.1N 69.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2024 35.0N 70.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2024 36.2N 69.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 27.8N 93.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2024 27.8N 93.5W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2024 26.4N 92.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2024 26.8N 91.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2024 26.3N 91.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2024 27.6N 90.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2024 30.2N 89.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 31.7N 80.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2024 31.7N 80.8W WEAK 00UTC 08.09.2024 32.2N 77.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2024 33.6N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2024 35.1N 70.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 030413