114 
WTNT80 EGRR 031614

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.09.2024

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 40.0N   3.3E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.09.2024  41.3N   5.7E   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.09.2024  47.0N   7.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2024  48.6N   9.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 34.8N  70.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.09.2024  36.8N  68.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2024  39.2N  66.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2024  41.4N  64.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2024  44.0N  63.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2024  47.1N  62.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2024  49.4N  60.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.1N  42.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.09.2024  13.6N  41.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.09.2024  14.7N  42.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.09.2024  15.8N  43.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  17.2N  44.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024  18.0N  44.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2024  18.8N  45.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 14.2N  19.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.09.2024  14.6N  21.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 031614