426 
WTNT80 EGRR 040412

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.09.2024

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 34.5N  70.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.09.2024  34.3N  70.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2024  36.8N  69.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2024  39.1N  66.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2024  41.4N  64.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2024  44.2N  63.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2024  47.5N  63.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 13.0N  42.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2024  13.0N  42.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2024  14.2N  42.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  15.1N  42.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024  15.6N  42.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2024  15.9N  43.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2024  15.9N  44.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.7N  33.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2024  15.7N  33.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2024  15.6N  33.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  15.3N  33.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 36.2N  70.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2024  36.2N  70.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2024  39.6N  65.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  43.1N  59.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024  46.1N  55.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.9N 145.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.09.2024  12.9N 145.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.09.2024  13.4N 146.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2024  13.9N 147.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2024  14.4N 148.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 15.2N  18.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.09.2024  15.5N  21.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2024  16.4N  25.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040412