367 
WTNT80 EGRR 081613

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.09.2024

        TROPICAL STORM 91L        ANALYSED POSITION : 20.2N  93.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2024  20.2N  93.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2024  20.4N  93.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  21.8N  94.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024  23.1N  94.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2024  24.7N  95.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2024  25.6N  95.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2024  27.7N  93.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2024  29.8N  91.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2024  32.7N  90.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2024  35.0N  90.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2024  36.3N  89.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2024  37.4N  88.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N  42.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2024  13.4N  42.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2024  13.9N  42.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  14.3N  41.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024  14.8N  41.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2024  15.0N  42.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2024  15.0N  43.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2024  15.5N  45.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2024  15.8N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 36.9N  68.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2024  36.9N  68.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.09.2024  40.6N  62.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2024  44.9N  56.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.8N  34.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.09.2024  11.8N  34.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.09.2024  14.0N  36.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2024  16.6N  38.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2024  18.0N  43.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2024  18.6N  46.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2024  19.7N  49.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2024  20.8N  51.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2024  22.0N  52.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2024  22.9N  53.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 37.8N  53.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.09.2024  37.8N  53.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.09.2024  37.8N  51.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2024  39.5N  47.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081613