833 WTNT80 EGRR 090412 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.09.2024 TROPICAL STORM 06L ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 95.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2024 22.8N 95.4W WEAK 12UTC 09.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 41.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2024 13.7N 41.9W WEAK 12UTC 09.09.2024 14.2N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2024 14.5N 40.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2024 14.6N 41.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2024 14.8N 42.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2024 14.9N 44.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2024 14.8N 46.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2024 15.0N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2024 15.3N 50.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 22.3N 93.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2024 22.3N 93.8W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2024 23.8N 94.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2024 24.8N 95.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2024 26.4N 94.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2024 28.5N 93.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2024 30.3N 90.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2024 32.8N 90.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2024 35.0N 90.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2024 35.6N 89.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2024 36.7N 87.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 35.9N 19.2E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.09.2024 35.9N 19.2E WEAK 12UTC 10.09.2024 36.5N 22.1E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2024 38.3N 24.9E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2024 41.1N 26.4E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2024 42.9N 26.7E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 16.7N 36.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2024 17.4N 38.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.09.2024 18.6N 41.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2024 19.8N 43.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2024 20.5N 46.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2024 21.6N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2024 22.4N 49.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2024 23.5N 50.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2024 23.6N 51.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 19.3N 109.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.09.2024 19.3N 109.9W WEAK 12UTC 13.09.2024 20.5N 110.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2024 21.1N 111.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2024 22.1N 112.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090412