523 
WTNT80 EGRR 130409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.09.2024

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N  62.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.09.2024  14.6N  62.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCINE   ANALYSED POSITION : 34.7N  90.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.09.2024  34.7N  90.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 13.09.2024  35.7N  91.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ILEANA     ANALYSED POSITION : 20.4N 108.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.09.2024  20.4N 108.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.09.2024  21.8N 108.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2024  23.4N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2024  24.5N 109.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2024  25.3N 109.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2024  26.3N 110.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07L        ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N  36.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.09.2024  18.6N  36.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.09.2024  19.1N  39.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2024  19.4N  41.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2024  19.5N  42.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 31.0N  46.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.09.2024  31.0N  46.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 17.09.2024  30.6N  45.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2024  29.6N  44.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2024  28.8N  44.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 39.3N  18.7E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.09.2024  39.3N  18.7E     WEAK
 00UTC 19.09.2024  42.0N  18.5E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.09.2024  43.0N  16.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 31.6N  33.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.09.2024  31.6N  32.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.09.2024  32.0N  32.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2024  32.5N  31.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 31.9N  16.6E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.09.2024  31.9N  16.6E     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130409