582 WTNT80 EGRR 170411 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.09.2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 34.0N 79.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.09.2024 34.0N 79.3W WEAK 12UTC 17.09.2024 34.6N 81.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 48.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.09.2024 18.9N 48.5W WEAK 12UTC 17.09.2024 19.5N 48.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2024 20.5N 47.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2024 21.7N 47.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2024 23.3N 46.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2024 25.2N 46.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2024 26.0N 46.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2024 26.3N 44.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2024 25.9N 43.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2024 25.7N 43.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2024 26.1N 43.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2024 27.5N 44.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2024 29.5N 45.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2024 32.0N 45.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2024 34.8N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 30.0N 48.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.09.2024 30.0N 48.8W WEAK 12UTC 17.09.2024 29.2N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2024 28.0N 50.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2024 27.4N 52.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2024 26.5N 53.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2024 25.9N 54.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2024 26.1N 55.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2024 25.6N 56.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2024 26.1N 57.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2024 26.8N 57.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2024 26.7N 57.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2024 27.0N 57.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2024 27.6N 56.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2024 28.3N 55.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2024 29.5N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 38.6N 17.7E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2024 38.6N 17.7E WEAK 00UTC 23.09.2024 37.4N 19.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2024 36.5N 20.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 12.4N 141.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.09.2024 12.4N 141.1W WEAK 12UTC 23.09.2024 12.8N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2024 12.8N 144.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 37.3N 1.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2024 37.3N 1.4W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 170411