693 WTNT80 EGRR 010410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.10.2024 TROPICAL STORM KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 36.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2024 14.2N 36.6W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2024 15.0N 39.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2024 15.7N 41.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2024 16.8N 43.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2024 17.8N 45.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 18.4N 46.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 19.2N 48.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 20.1N 49.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 21.3N 51.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 23.0N 53.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 24.9N 53.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.10.2024 28.2N 53.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2024 31.7N 51.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2024 36.0N 48.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2024 41.7N 42.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 95.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2024 15.2N 95.6W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.6N 24.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2024 10.6N 24.1W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2024 10.9N 25.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2024 10.8N 27.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2024 10.7N 29.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2024 10.5N 30.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 10.0N 31.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 9.7N 32.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 9.6N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 9.7N 35.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 10.2N 37.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 11.0N 38.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 11.6N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 12.4N 40.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 12.8N 41.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 13.8N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 49.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2024 22.8N 49.0W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2024 23.9N 49.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2024 26.1N 48.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2024 29.2N 47.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2024 34.0N 41.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 39.5N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.8N 134.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.10.2024 13.0N 134.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 13.6N 134.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 14.0N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 14.4N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 14.9N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 15.3N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 35.7N 67.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.10.2024 34.9N 66.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.10.2024 35.5N 63.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 33.9N 63.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 32.8N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 33.0N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 34.1N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 35.5N 60.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 42.7N 55.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2024 43.9N 53.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2024 45.3N 49.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 21.8N 93.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2024 21.8N 93.8W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2024 22.8N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 24.2N 92.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 25.5N 91.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 15.4N 104.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2024 16.1N 104.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 16.3N 105.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 16.6N 106.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 010410