903 WTNT80 EGRR 020412 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.10.2024 HURRICANE KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 40.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2024 16.2N 40.3W MODERATE 12UTC 02.10.2024 17.8N 42.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2024 18.9N 44.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.10.2024 19.8N 45.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 21.0N 46.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 22.2N 48.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 23.6N 49.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.10.2024 25.8N 51.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2024 28.9N 51.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 06.10.2024 32.6N 49.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 36.8N 46.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2024 41.0N 41.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 43.6N 34.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 44.3N 26.7W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 44.7N 15.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 95.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2024 14.7N 95.3W WEAK 12UTC 02.10.2024 14.4N 96.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2024 13.9N 97.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 13.4N 98.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 13.9N 98.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 14.7N 99.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 15.5N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 15.8N 102.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 16.3N 103.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 16.9N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 17.3N 106.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 18.4N 107.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 19.1N 108.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.4N 109.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 20.2N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 95.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2024 14.7N 95.3W WEAK 12UTC 02.10.2024 14.4N 96.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2024 13.9N 97.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 13.4N 98.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 13.9N 98.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 14.7N 99.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 15.5N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 15.8N 102.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 16.3N 103.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 16.9N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 17.3N 106.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 18.4N 107.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 19.1N 108.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.4N 109.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 20.2N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.6N 27.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2024 10.6N 27.2W WEAK 12UTC 02.10.2024 10.6N 28.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2024 10.3N 30.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2024 9.5N 31.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 9.2N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 9.1N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 9.1N 34.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 9.5N 35.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 10.5N 36.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 11.7N 37.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 13.6N 38.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 15.7N 40.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 17.4N 43.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 18.7N 46.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 19.7N 49.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 34.4N 64.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.10.2024 34.4N 64.2W WEAK 12UTC 03.10.2024 33.4N 62.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2024 33.7N 60.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2024 33.1N 61.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2024 32.7N 62.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2024 33.0N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2024 33.4N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 13.3N 20.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2024 13.3N 20.5W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 020412