204 WTNT80 EGRR 060410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2024 HURRICANE KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N 50.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2024 30.5N 50.1W INTENSE 12UTC 06.10.2024 34.2N 48.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2024 37.5N 45.2W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2024 40.6N 40.1W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2024 42.8N 34.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 43.4N 27.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 42.9N 18.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 44.4N 8.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 47.9N 3.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 50.9N 10.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 55.0N 16.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 95.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2024 22.5N 95.6W WEAK 12UTC 06.10.2024 22.8N 94.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 22.2N 92.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 22.2N 91.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 22.5N 89.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 23.7N 86.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 24.7N 84.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 25.7N 82.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 28.8N 78.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 31.1N 73.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 33.5N 65.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 39.5N 54.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 47.6N 45.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 POST-TROPICAL HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N 36.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2024 11.9N 36.7W MODERATE 12UTC 06.10.2024 12.8N 37.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2024 14.0N 39.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 15.0N 40.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2024 16.2N 41.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 17.2N 43.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 18.1N 45.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 19.0N 47.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 19.7N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 20.5N 51.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 21.1N 53.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 22.1N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 23.0N 54.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 23.8N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 24.5N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 30.7N 62.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2024 30.7N 62.3W WEAK 12UTC 06.10.2024 29.8N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2024 29.3N 60.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 18.5N 107.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2024 18.8N 108.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 10.10.2024 19.2N 109.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 20.3N 110.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 21.1N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060410