307 WTNT80 EGRR 070410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2024 HURRICANE KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 37.7N 45.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2024 37.7N 45.2W INTENSE 12UTC 07.10.2024 41.1N 39.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 43.3N 33.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 43.5N 27.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 42.6N 18.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 44.4N 7.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 47.1N 1.9E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 51.7N 9.8E MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2024 POST-TROPICAL HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 39.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2024 14.5N 39.1W MODERATE 12UTC 07.10.2024 15.9N 40.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2024 17.5N 41.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.1N 43.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 20.3N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 21.5N 46.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 22.3N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 23.0N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 23.8N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 24.7N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 26.0N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 22.4N 93.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2024 22.4N 93.5W MODERATE 12UTC 07.10.2024 21.7N 92.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 21.4N 90.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 22.3N 87.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 23.3N 85.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 25.3N 83.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 26.9N 80.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2024 28.2N 77.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 29.2N 72.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 29.3N 67.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 28.3N 64.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 27.5N 61.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 27.8N 59.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 104.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2024 17.1N 104.1W WEAK 12UTC 07.10.2024 17.2N 105.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 17.7N 106.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 18.4N 106.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 18.6N 107.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 19.1N 108.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 19.4N 109.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 27.6N 77.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2024 27.6N 77.9W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2024 28.5N 73.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 30.5N 71.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 32.1N 63.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 33.4N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070410