568 WTNT80 EGRR 071611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2024 HURRICANE MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 92.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2024 22.0N 92.3W MODERATE 00UTC 08.10.2024 21.9N 90.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 22.4N 88.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 23.3N 86.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 25.3N 84.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 27.0N 83.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2024 28.3N 80.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2024 29.2N 76.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 29.6N 72.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 29.0N 68.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 28.5N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 28.8N 64.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 28.3N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 28.1N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2024 28.6N 58.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 40.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2024 16.1N 40.9W MODERATE 00UTC 08.10.2024 17.7N 42.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.4N 44.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 20.8N 46.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 22.0N 47.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2024 22.5N 48.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 23.3N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 24.5N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 26.1N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 28.5N 47.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 41.1N 39.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2024 41.1N 39.7W STRONG 00UTC 08.10.2024 43.2N 33.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 43.2N 26.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 42.4N 15.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 45.0N 3.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 49.4N 5.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 55.0N 14.1E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N 105.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2024 17.6N 105.5W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2024 18.3N 106.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 18.8N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 19.1N 107.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 19.4N 108.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 28.0N 76.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2024 27.9N 76.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 29.3N 71.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 30.8N 67.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071611