815 WTNT80 EGRR 080413 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.10.2024 HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 42.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2024 17.8N 42.7W MODERATE 12UTC 08.10.2024 19.3N 45.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 20.3N 46.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 21.5N 47.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 22.2N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 23.0N 50.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 24.2N 50.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 26.1N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 28.3N 47.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 30.6N 44.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 31.9N 41.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 34.2N 36.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 35.2N 33.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2024 36.4N 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2024 38.0N 23.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 21.9N 90.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2024 21.9N 90.4W INTENSE 12UTC 08.10.2024 22.0N 88.9W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 23.0N 87.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 24.6N 85.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 26.4N 84.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 27.4N 82.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2024 28.6N 79.3W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 28.8N 76.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 28.7N 74.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 29.7N 72.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 30.6N 68.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 31.5N 64.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 31.2N 59.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2024 30.7N 56.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2024 29.5N 54.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N 106.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2024 18.3N 106.0W WEAK 12UTC 08.10.2024 18.9N 106.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 19.5N 107.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 20.0N 108.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 27.0N 79.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2024 27.0N 79.4W WEAK 12UTC 08.10.2024 27.0N 76.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 28.2N 73.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 29.1N 70.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 29.7N 66.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.4N 17.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2024 14.4N 17.2W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2024 15.5N 20.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 16.6N 22.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 18.5N 24.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 19.5N 26.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 19.9N 27.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 20.6N 29.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2024 20.8N 30.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2024 21.3N 31.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2024 21.2N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 34.5N 51.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2024 34.9N 47.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2024 34.2N 44.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2024 32.9N 40.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 080413